Prediction Market Intelligence

找到比市场更好的概率。

从 Kalshi 和 Polymarket 的热门事件中,发现跨平台价差、赛事路径和数据驱动策略。看清策略怎么做、为什么可能有效,以及它承担什么风险。

真实数据来源 Kalshi / Polymarket 公共行情 · 更新于 04:12:48(每 30 秒自动刷新)
Live events tracked
1,536
Markets tracked
9,832
Active strategies
10
今日策略信号
2

正在发生的事件

60 个事件
宏观 · 10月29日结算 · Upcoming

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Polymarket
YES
86¢ −2.0¢
NO
14¢
Volume $14.39M · —
政治 · 10月31日结算 · Upcoming

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Polymarket
YES
78¢ −4.0¢
NO
22¢
Volume $4.68M · —
体育 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Polymarket
YES
73¢ +6.0¢
NO
27¢
Volume $6.17M · —
体育 · 5月30日结算 · Upcoming

Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Polymarket
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
Volume $32.72M · —
政治 · 4月19日结算 · Upcoming

Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Polymarket
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
Volume $6.97M · —
政治 · 11月7日结算 · Upcoming

Will Jon Stewart be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

Kalshi
YES
0¢ 0.0¢
NO
100¢
Volume $5.26M · —
政治 · 11月8日结算 · Upcoming

Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Polymarket
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
Volume $54.44M · —
政治 · 10月28日结算 · Upcoming

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Polymarket
YES
29¢
NO
71¢
Volume $8.91M · —
政治 · 今天结算 · Live

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?

Polymarket
YES
50¢ +40.0¢
NO
50¢
Volume $175K · —
政治 · 11月4日结算 · Upcoming

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?

Polymarket
YES
91¢ −5.0¢
NO
9¢
Volume $931K · —
政治 · 11月4日结算 · Upcoming

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Polymarket
YES
8¢
NO
92¢
Volume $7.75M · —
政治 · 10月26日结算 · Upcoming

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?

Polymarket
YES
6¢ −3.0¢
NO
94¢
Volume $865K · —
加密 · 11月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?

Polymarket
YES
30¢ −6.0¢
NO
70¢
Volume $760K · —
政治 · 11月8日结算 · Upcoming

Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Polymarket
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
Volume $44.55M · —
政治 · 11月1日结算 · Upcoming

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

Polymarket
YES
11¢ +4.0¢
NO
89¢
Volume $5.38M · —
加密 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket
YES
5¢ 0.0¢
NO
95¢
Volume $8.71M · —
政治 · 10月31日结算 · Upcoming

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Polymarket
YES
86¢ −1.0¢
NO
14¢
Volume $2.59M · —
政治 · 11月4日结算 · Upcoming

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Polymarket
YES
92¢ +1.0¢
NO
8¢
Volume $10.78M · —
政治 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket
YES
2¢ 0.0¢
NO
98¢
Volume $25.71M · —
政治 · 11月4日结算 · Upcoming

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?

Polymarket
YES
88¢ −3.0¢
NO
12¢
Volume $607K · —
宏观 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?

Polymarket
YES
10¢
NO
90¢
Volume $1.66M · —
政治 · 11月8日结算 · Upcoming

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Polymarket
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
Volume $54.89M · —
体育 · 10月31日结算 · Upcoming

Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?

Polymarket
YES
63¢ 0.0¢
NO
37¢
Volume $2.06M · —
体育 · 4月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Polymarket
YES
0¢ 0.0¢
NO
100¢
Volume $5.79M · —
体育 · 11月29日结算 · Upcoming

Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?

Polymarket
YES
16¢ −1.0¢
NO
84¢
Volume $152K · —
宏观 · 11月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?

Polymarket
YES
86¢ +14.0¢
NO
14¢
Volume $444K · —
宏观 · 12月9日结算 · Upcoming

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

Polymarket
YES
20¢ −2.0¢
NO
80¢
Volume $946K · —
政治 · 11月4日结算 · Upcoming

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Polymarket
YES
38¢
NO
62¢
Volume $2.30M · —
体育 · 6月15日结算 · Upcoming

Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?

Polymarket
YES
0¢ 0.0¢
NO
100¢
Volume $1.52M · —
政治 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Polymarket
YES
12¢
NO
88¢
Volume $15.22M · —
体育 · 5月30日结算 · Upcoming

Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

Polymarket
YES
16¢ −3.0¢
NO
84¢
Volume $3.29M · —
体育 · 7月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Polymarket
YES
9¢ 0.0¢
NO
91¢
Volume $1.34M · —
政治 · 10月28日结算 · Upcoming

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Polymarket
YES
28¢ −4.0¢
NO
72¢
Volume $541K · —
政治 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Polymarket
YES
4¢ 0.0¢
NO
96¢
Volume $42.23M · —
政治 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket
YES
18¢ +5.0¢
NO
82¢
Volume $2.89M · —
政治 · 11月29日结算 · Upcoming

Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?

Polymarket
YES
41¢ +2.0¢
NO
59¢
Volume $663K · —
政治 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?

Polymarket
YES
26¢ −2.0¢
NO
74¢
Volume $256K · —
政治 · 12月31日结算 · Upcoming

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket
YES
22¢ +1.0¢
NO
78¢
Volume $135K · —
政治 · 4月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

Polymarket
YES
15¢ −1.0¢
NO
85¢
Volume $463K · —
政治 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket
YES
24¢ −2.0¢
NO
76¢
Volume $2.95M · —
政治 · 11月4日结算 · Upcoming

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Polymarket
YES
64¢
NO
36¢
Volume $4.12M · —
加密 · 11月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?

Polymarket
YES
16¢ −2.0¢
NO
84¢
Volume $320K · —
政治 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?

Polymarket
YES
8¢
NO
92¢
Volume $906K · —
市场 · 12月31日结算 · Upcoming

Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Kalshi
YES
18¢ −4.0¢
NO
82¢
Volume $839K · —
政治 · 10月25日结算 · Upcoming

Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Polymarket
YES
70¢ +3.0¢
NO
30¢
Volume $771K · —
政治 · 11月1日结算 · Upcoming

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

Polymarket
YES
1¢ 0.0¢
NO
99¢
Volume $2.92M · —
政治 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Polymarket
YES
2¢ 0.0¢
NO
98¢
Volume $44.37M · —
政治 · 1月27日结算 · Upcoming

Will Tricia McLaughlin be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029?

Kalshi
YES
2¢ 0.0¢
NO
98¢
Volume $76K · —
政治 · 12月31日结算 · Upcoming

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket
YES
12¢ +2.0¢
NO
88¢
Volume $1.16M · —
市场 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket
YES
4¢ +3.0¢
NO
96¢
Volume $1.12M · —
政治 · 11月4日结算 · Upcoming

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Polymarket
YES
18¢ +2.0¢
NO
82¢
Volume $502K · —
政治 · 11月1日结算 · Upcoming

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?

Polymarket
YES
10¢ +4.0¢
NO
90¢
Volume $255K · —
政治 · 11月4日结算 · Upcoming

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Polymarket
YES
63¢ −2.0¢
NO
37¢
Volume $800K · —
加密 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?

Polymarket
YES
76¢ +3.0¢
NO
24¢
Volume $469K · —
市场 · 10月31日结算 · Upcoming

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Polymarket
YES
74¢ +4.0¢
NO
26¢
Volume $658K · —
宏观 · 1月5日结算 · Upcoming

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Polymarket
YES
17¢ +2.0¢
NO
83¢
Volume $1.50M · —
政治 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket
YES
14¢ +2.0¢
NO
86¢
Volume $3.54M · —
政治 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket
YES
8¢ +1.0¢
NO
92¢
Volume $2.46M · —
宏观 · 1月1日结算 · Upcoming

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?

Polymarket
YES
21¢ +2.0¢
NO
79¢
Volume $421K · —
体育 · 12月6日结算 · Upcoming

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Polymarket
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
Volume $6.95M · —